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Bitcoin For Protection: A Warning From Argentina

After the Argentine government put a limit on dollar transactions, hundreds of people lined up to get their savings out of the bank. If you don’t live in Argentina, you may think this doesn’t impact you. It has to do with something called the “Great Unwinding.” The central bank says it won’t hinder people from withdrawing money from their accounts. But Argentines don’t trust the government — and for good reason…

In the crises of 1989–1990 and 2001–2002, the government blocked citizens from withdrawing their savings.

The second time around, riots broke out. Supermarkets were looted, and angry depositors vandalized bank ATMs.

That’s why hundreds lined up at banks across Buenos Aires last week. They wanted to withdraw their savings after the latest government-authorized currency controls.

Even though we’ve never had a situation where all global currencies got crushed at once, a broad-based currency meltdown is in the offing.

The current economic crisis in Argentina was triggered last month when the opposition candidate defeated President Mauricio Macri in a primary election.

That result spooked investors, who feared a return of interventionist policies. The main Argentine stock market crashed more than 30% — in one day.

The Argentine peso collapsed over 25% (and continues to fall).

To keep it afloat, the government announced the new capital controls. But emerging-market currencies aren’t facing just political uncertainty. The main problem is debt.

Total emerging-market debt has tripled since 2007 — and now stands at $69 trillion. (Just last year, Argentina took out an emergency $56 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund to cover its short-term debt.)

To make matters worse, many of these loans must be paid back in U.S. dollars. And as the dollar rises, their currencies get weaker. So the loans are more expensive to service.

Now, emerging markets need to pay back (or refinance) $1.5 trillion in debt over the next 18 months.

But guess what? They don’t have the money.

Countries are issuing debt they can’t service — and printing too much money to try to cover it. Nothing kills a currency faster than that.

We’d never seen negative interest rates before, either. Yet now, about $17 trillion worth of government bonds worldwide (25% of the market) trade at negative yields.

Think about that. Lenders are actually paying borrowers. That’s insane.
So it’s possible we’ll see the world’s currency bubble pop.
And when it does, investors will look elsewhere for alternatives — like bitcoin.

Without getting into the weeds, bitcoin runs on something called a blockchain. No individual person runs the bitcoin blockchain. It’s peer-to-peer, with no intermediary. So governments can’t shut it down. They can’t confiscate or put controls on it.

Even China — with one of the more repressive governments in the world — has tried to ban bitcoin. Yet trading still flourishes there. Russia, Vietnam, and Colombia have all tried and failed, too.

For those who have lived through several currency devaluations (like Argentines), bitcoin is a substitute for putting their money in banks. In fact, they’re willing to pay a $1,000 premium or more for bitcoin.

The government can stop them from buying U.S. dollars… But it can’t stop them from buying bitcoin.

Even with bitcoin’s wild volatility, they’d rather have 20% of something than 100% of nothing.

Now, if you’re from a country with an established fiat currency, you probably won’t place your savings into a volatile asset like bitcoin.
But consider a small stake; it could turn into life-changing gains as the Great Unwinding unfolds.

Central banks can paper over problems for a very long time — but not forever. At some point, the fiat currency bubbles around the world will burst.

And when they do, more people will rush into bitcoin. And that will send prices soaring.

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